Trent Ltd Share Price Prediction & Financial Analysis: 2025, 2030, 2035, 2050

Trent Ltd: Company Overview

Trent Ltd operates over 1,000 stores, including 248 Westside outlets, 765 Zudio stores, and 30 other lifestyle formats as of March 2025. The company reported a robust 39% revenue growth in FY25, reaching ₹17,624 crore, with a Q4 FY25 revenue of ₹4,334 crore (up 28% YoY). Trent’s net profit for Q3 FY24-25 surged 32.83% to ₹497.25 crore, reflecting strong operational efficiency. With a market capitalization of ₹1,88,426 crore and a 5-year revenue CAGR of 36%, Trent is a compelling investment option.

Financial Performance Snapshot

• Revenue (FY25): ₹17,624 crore (39% YoY growth)
• Q4 FY25 Revenue: ₹4,334 crore (28% YoY growth)
• Net Profit (Q3 FY24-25): ₹497.25 crore (32.83% YoY growth)
• Market Cap: ₹1,88,426 crore
• P/E Ratio: 91.41 (industry premium: 190% above peers)
• P/B Ratio: 34.31 (484% premium to peers)
• Dividend Yield: 0.06% (₹3.2 per share in 2024)
• Promoter Holding: 37.01% (stable)
• 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 36%

Despite a 32% YTD stock decline in 2025 and a 42% drop over six months, analysts remain bullish, citing Trent’s aggressive expansion and leadership in value retail. Brokerages like Goldman Sachs (target: ₹8,120) and Macquarie (target: ₹7,000) highlight Zudio’s growth and a projected 45% sales CAGR for FY23-25.

Share Price Forecast Methodology

Our share price projections are based on:

• Historical CAGR: Trent’s 5-year revenue CAGR of 36% and stock price CAGR of 47.8%.
• Analyst Targets: Consensus from 21 analysts, with a 12-month median target of ₹6,084.29 and a high of ₹8,120.
• Market Trends: India’s retail sector is expected to grow at a 10% CAGR over the next five years, driven by urbanization and rising disposable incomes.
• Technical Analysis: Current “Strong Buy” signal based on moving averages.

We assume a conservative stock price CAGR of 20-25% for 2025-2030, tapering to 15-20% for 2030-2050, reflecting market maturity and competition.

Share Price Forecast

2025

• Estimated Range: ₹7,272 – ₹8,228
• Rationale: Analysts project a mid-year target of ₹7,804, reaching ₹8,228 by year-end, driven by Zudio’s expansion (132 new stores in Q4 FY25) and a 28% revenue growth trajectory. Despite a Q4 slowdown, Trent’s strong fundamentals and analyst backing (e.g., Goldman Sachs’ ₹8,120 target) support a bullish outlook. The stock closed at ₹5,335.5 on April 7, 2025, suggesting a potential 36-54% upside.

2030

• Estimated Range: ₹12,966 – ₹14,057
• Rationale: Assuming a 20% CAGR from 2025, Trent’s share price could reach ₹14,057 by 2030. This aligns with projections of ₹12,793-₹14,057, fueled by a 10% retail sector CAGR and Trent’s market share gains in value fashion. Zudio’s international expansion (e.g., UAE stores) and operational efficiencies will drive growth.

2035

• Estimated Range: ₹21,075 – ₹23,226
• Rationale: With a 15% CAGR from 2030, Trent’s share price could hit ₹23,226 by 2035. Continued store additions, digital integration, and brand loyalty will sustain growth. However, competition and market saturation may temper the CAGR compared to earlier years.

2050

• Estimated Range: ₹90,502 – ₹98,117
• Rationale: Projecting a 15% CAGR from 2035, Trent’s share price could reach ₹98,117 by 2050. This optimistic forecast assumes Trent maintains its leadership in retail, leverages technology (e.g., e-commerce, AI-driven analytics), and navigates macroeconomic challenges. Long-term investors could see a 165% return from 2025 levels, as suggested by historical trends.

Risks to Consider

• Valuation Concerns: Trent’s P/E (91.41) and P/B (34.31) ratios are significantly above industry medians, indicating potential overvaluation.
• Revenue Slowdown: Q4 FY25 growth (28%) lagged the 5-year CAGR (36%), raising concerns about demand softness and discounting.
• Market Volatility: A 19% share price drop post-Q4 update reflects investor sensitivity to growth metrics.
• Competition: Rivals like Reliance Retail and Aditya Birla Fashion may challenge Trent’s market share.

Investment Outlook

Trent Ltd remains a strong long-term investment due to its robust brand portfolio, aggressive expansion, and alignment with India’s retail growth story. While short-term volatility and high valuations warrant caution, the company’s 36% revenue CAGR, 47.8% stock price CAGR, and analyst optimism (average target: ₹6,522) underscore its potential.

For investors, a phased investment approach with a 5-10 year horizon could maximize returns. Monitor quarterly results (next report: April 23, 2025) and store expansion updates for entry points.

Conclusion

Trent Ltd’s share price is poised for significant growth, with projected targets of ₹8,228 (2025), ₹14,057 (2030), ₹23,226 (2035), and ₹98,117 (2050). Backed by a 36% revenue CAGR, strategic expansions, and a bullish retail sector outlook, Trent is a standout in India’s retail landscape. However, investors should weigh valuation risks and market dynamics. For the latest updates, check NSE/BSE listings or trusted platforms like Moneycontrol and Economic Times.

Disclaimer: Stock forecasts are speculative and subject to market risks. Consult a financial advisor before investing.